From Texas Political Almanac
Who & Where
The Southwestern corner of Harris County is the most diverse population within Texas. It is home to the largest share of Harris County's Asian population and also shares a fast-growing Hispanic and African-American population. The Anglo population in the district has been in decline since the 1990s, but remains as a sizable share of voters. The Alief neighborhood serves as the anchor for District 149, with other parts of the district covering western Houston. The district also includes a small part of suburban Katy to the far north and west, providing much of the Republican base to any electorate. But as the Asian center of population moves north within Harris County, demographic change will likely continue to alter that electorate in the foreseeable future.
Hubert Vo immigrated from Vietnam in 1975 along with his family. Vo graduated from the University of Houston in 1983. Prior to his election, Vo owned a wholesale computer business and invested in real estate. With Vo's convincing win in the 2010 and 2012 elections, his ability to capture swing votes among historically Republican-leaning Vietnamese voters will be an issue for any Republican candidate hoping to make inroads in the district.
HD149, as it stood in the first decade of the century, was a successfully functioning minority coalition district. This is due in large part to four largest demographic groups being well represented in Southwest Harris County. The fact that Alief - and the remainder of Southwest Harris County - is home to neighborhoods that lack any one particularly dominant demographic group may mean that the area is susceptible to being split into multiple districts in future Republican-led redistricting efforts. The district was a key target of the 82nd legislature, as Vo was paired with HD137's Scott Hochberg and the nominal HD149 was transported to Williamson County as Harris County was slated to lose one of it's House districts. The two districts were re-created as separate entities by a federal three-judge panel tasked with creating interim maps for the 2012 election as a part of the consolidated lawsuits against the state's redistricting plans.
On November 13, 2013, Al Hoang filed for the Republican nomination against Vo. Hoang had served two terms as City Council Member before being defeated by an unknown candidate for this final term on November 5th. The 2013 round of redistricting has added a 2-point cushion favoring Democratic candidates in the district. While Democratic candidates do receive fewer votes in the district during Gubernatorial elections, it would appear to take something worse than the 2010 GOP wave to unseat Rep. Vo in this district.
Blue shading - Newly-passed Plan H358.
Red outline - Previous court-drawn Plan H309 used for 2012 elections.
2012 District Map
Population & Demographics
|Total Pop.||18+ Pop.||CVAP-10||CVAP-11|
- Total and 18+ Population taken from 2010 Census data, provided by the Texas Legislative Council.
- CVAP-10: American Community Survey data from 2006-2010, provided by the Texas Legislative Council.
- CVAP-11: American Community Survey data from 2007-2011, provided by the Texas Legislative Council.
2012 Election Analysis
77,454 Registered Voters
12,958 Spanish-Surnamed Registered Voters
44,212 Total Ballots
|Contest||Rep. Candidate||R-%||Dem. Candidate||D-%|
|U.S. President||Mitt Romney||41.8%||Barack Obama||57.1%|
|U.S. Senate||Ted Cruz||42.5%||Paul Sadler||55.3%|
|RR Commish||Christi Craddick||42.5%||Dale Henry||54.6%|
|Supreme Court||Nathan Hecht||40.5%||Michele Petty||57.0%|
|Crt. of Criminal Appeals||Sharon Keller||41.4%||Keith Hampton||56.7%|
|State Representative||Dianne Williams||38.9%||Hubert Vo||61.1%|
|County Sheriff||Louis Guthrie||38.7%||Adrian Garcia||59.7%|
|County Attorney||Robert Talton||41.4%||Vince Ryan||58.6%|
|District Attorney||Mike Anderson||43.7%||Lloyd Oliver||56.3%|
|Tax Assessor||Mike Sullivan||41.5%||Ann Bennett||56.5%|
|County Brd. of Education||Mike Wolfe||41.3%||Diane Trautman||58.7%|
2010 Election Analysis
76,373 Registered Voters
12,031 Spanish-Surnamed Registered Voters
27,769 Total Ballots
|Contest||Rep. Candidate||R-%||Dem. Candidate||D-%|
|Governor||Rick Perry||44.8%||Bill White||53.7%|
|Lt. Governor||David Dewhurst||50.6%||Linda Chavez-Thompson||47.0%|
|Attorney General||Greg Abbott||52.9%||Barbara Radnofsky||45.6%|
|Land Commish||Jerry Patterson||50.8%||Hector Uribe||47.2%|
|Ag. Commish||Todd Staples||50.3%||Hank Gilbert||47.5%|
|RR Commish||David Porter||49.5%||Jeff Weems||47.5%|
|Supreme Court||Debra Lehrmann||50.1%||Jim Sharp||48.3%|
|Supreme Court||Paul Green||49.8%||Bill Moody||48.4%|
|Supreme Court||Eva Guzman||51.2%||Blake Bailey||46.6%|
|Crt. of Criminal Appeals||Michael Keasler||50.5%||Keith Hampton||47.6%|
- Plan H358 - House District 149 - pending Governor's signature and Preclearance.
- Plan H309 - House District 149 - plan under which the 2012 elections were held
- Plan H303 - House District 149 - MALDEF/Abbott Compromise Plan
- Plan H302 - House District 149 - San Antonio court's original interim plan
- Plan H283 - House District 149 - plan passed by the 82nd Texas legislature
In the redistricting plan submitted by the 82nd Legislature and signed by Governor Perry, HD149 was primarily folded into the HD137 while the new nominal HD149 was placed in Williamson County. The court-ordered Plan H302 recreated HD137 and HD149 as distinct districts.
While the Legislature's H283 plan paired incumbents Hubert Vo and Scott Hochberg, Hochberg announced his intention to not run for re-election in 2012 after the Western District's interim plan was announced. The resulting comparison in districts would see Vo running for re-election in either a reliably Democratic district (the H283 plan) or in a district that is almost identical to the present HD149 in partisan measurements.
The combined treatment of HDs 26, 137, and 146 could be granted a positive lease on life from a recent District of Columbia court's order outlining problems in how the state treated existing coalition districts. The ultimate fate of each district may largely be determined by how the Supreme Court rules on the Western District's interim plan (H302).
A partial agreement between the State of Texas and one of the plaintiffs in the San Antonio court renumerates the core of the existing HD149 as HD136. The district created in this plan is a safe Democratic seat, while the neighboring HD137 is restored under the plan as a swing district.
- House District 149 - 2001 Map - Election History (2002-2010) and District Map
- Filing deadline today - Houston Chronicle (blog)
[#]Filing deadline today
Houston Chronicle (blog)
By the way, for comparison purposes, the Harris County GOP is only contesting 14 of 24 State Rep seats. The three lucky Dems that have drawn challengers so far are Rep. Gene Wu in HD137, Rep. Hubert Vo in HD149 ? we already knew about that one ...
and more »
|District||HD1, HD2, HD3, HD4, HD5, HD6, HD7, HD8, HD9, HD10, HD11, HD12, HD13, HD14, HD15, HD16, HD17, HD18, HD19, HD20, HD21, HD22, HD23, HD24, HD25, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD29, HD30, HD31, HD32, HD33, HD34, HD35, HD36, HD37, HD38, HD39, HD40, HD41, HD42, HD43, HD44, HD45, HD46, HD47, HD48, HD49, HD50, HD51, HD52, HD53, HD54, HD55, HD56, HD57, HD58, HD59, HD60, HD61, HD62, HD63, HD64, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD68, HD69, HD70, HD71, HD72, HD73, HD74, HD75, HD76, HD77, HD78, HD79, HD80, HD81, HD82, HD83, HD84, HD85, HD86, HD87, HD88, HD89, HD90, HD91, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD95, HD96, HD97, HD98, HD99, HD100, HD101, HD102, HD103, HD104, HD105, HD106, HD107, HD108, HD109, HD110, HD111, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD116, HD117, HD118, HD119, HD120, HD121, HD122, HD123, HD124, HD125, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD150|