HD149

HD149

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Contents

Overview

Who & Where
The Southwestern corner of Harris County is the most diverse population within Texas. It is home to the largest share of Harris County's Asian population and also shares a fast-growing Hispanic and African-American population. The Anglo population in the district has been in decline since the 1990s, but remains as a sizable share of voters. The Alief neighborhood serves as the anchor for District 149, with other parts of the district covering western Houston. The district also includes a small part of suburban Katy to the far north and west, providing much of the Republican base to any electorate. But as the Asian center of population moves north within Harris County, demographic change will likely continue to alter that electorate in the foreseeable future.

HD149, as it stood in the first decade of the century, was a successfully functioning minority coalition district. This is due in large part to four largest demographic groups being well represented in Southwest Harris County. The fact that Alief - and the remainder of Southwest Harris County - is home to neighborhoods that lack any one particularly dominant demographic group may mean that the area is susceptible to being split into multiple districts in future Republican-led redistricting efforts. The district was a key target of the 82nd legislature, as Vo was paired with HD137's Scott Hochberg and the nominal HD149 was transported to Williamson County as Harris County was slated to lose one of it's House districts. The two districts were re-created as separate entities by a federal three-judge panel tasked with creating interim maps for the 2012 election as a part of the consolidated lawsuits against the state's redistricting plans.

Hubert Vo
Hubert Vo immigrated from Vietnam in 1975 along with his family. Vo graduated from the University of Houston in 1983. Prior to his election, Vo owned a wholesale computer business and invested in real estate. With Vo's convincing win in the 2010 and 2012 elections, his ability to capture swing votes among historically Republican-leaning Vietnamese voters will be an issue for any Republican candidate hoping to make inroads in the district.

District Outlook
On November 13, 2013, recently defeated Houston city council member Al Hoang filed for the Republican nomination against Vo. Hoang had served two terms as City Council Member before being defeated by an unknown candidate for this final term on November 5th. More surprisingly, Hoang was later joined in the GOP primary by Alief ISD trustee Ngi Ho.

The 2013 round of redistricting has added a 2-point cushion favoring Democratic candidates in the district. While Democratic candidates do receive fewer votes in the district during Gubernatorial elections, it would appear to take something worse than the 2010 GOP wave to unseat Rep. Vo in this district.

District Map

Blue shading - Newly-passed Plan H358.
Red outline - Previous court-drawn Plan H309 used for 2012 elections.

2012 District Map

Population & Demographics

Total Pop. 18+ Pop. CVAP-10 CVAP-11
Total 171,899 123,284 85,485 86,465
Anglo 20.5% 23.2% 33.0% 32.4%
Hispanic 34.5% 31.7% 19.7% 20.2%
Afr-Am 26.1% 24.3% 28.0% 27.7%
Other 20.1% 21.7%
Asian 18.5% 18.5%
  • Total and 18+ Population taken from 2010 Census data, provided by the Texas Legislative Council.
  • CVAP-10: American Community Survey data from 2006-2010, provided by the Texas Legislative Council.
  • CVAP-11: American Community Survey data from 2007-2011, provided by the Texas Legislative Council.

2012 Election Analysis

77,454 Registered Voters
12,958 Spanish-Surnamed Registered Voters
44,212 Total Ballots

Contest Rep. Candidate R-% Dem. Candidate D-%
U.S. President Mitt Romney 41.8% Barack Obama 57.1%
U.S. Senate Ted Cruz 42.5% Paul Sadler 55.3%
RR Commish Christi Craddick 42.5% Dale Henry 54.6%
Supreme Court Nathan Hecht 40.5% Michele Petty 57.0%
Crt. of Criminal Appeals Sharon Keller 41.4% Keith Hampton 56.7%
State Representative Dianne Williams 38.9% Hubert Vo 61.1%
County Sheriff Louis Guthrie 38.7% Adrian Garcia 59.7%
County Attorney Robert Talton 41.4% Vince Ryan 58.6%
District Attorney Mike Anderson 43.7% Lloyd Oliver 56.3%
Tax Assessor Mike Sullivan 41.5% Ann Bennett 56.5%
County Brd. of Education Mike Wolfe 41.3% Diane Trautman 58.7%

2010 Election Analysis

76,373 Registered Voters
12,031 Spanish-Surnamed Registered Voters
27,769 Total Ballots

Contest Rep. Candidate R-% Dem. Candidate D-%
Governor Rick Perry 44.8% Bill White 53.7%
Lt. Governor David Dewhurst 50.6% Linda Chavez-Thompson 47.0%
Attorney General Greg Abbott 52.9% Barbara Radnofsky 45.6%
Comptroller Susan Combs 79.6%
Land Commish Jerry Patterson 50.8% Hector Uribe 47.2%
Ag. Commish Todd Staples 50.3% Hank Gilbert 47.5%
RR Commish David Porter 49.5% Jeff Weems 47.5%
Supreme Court Debra Lehrmann 50.1% Jim Sharp 48.3%
Supreme Court Paul Green 49.8% Bill Moody 48.4%
Supreme Court Eva Guzman 51.2% Blake Bailey 46.6%
Crt. of Criminal Appeals Michael Keasler 50.5% Keith Hampton 47.6%

Redistricting

2013 Redistricting

2011 Redistricting

In the redistricting plan submitted by the 82nd Legislature and signed by Governor Perry, HD149 was primarily folded into the HD137 while the new nominal HD149 was placed in Williamson County. The court-ordered Plan H302 recreated HD137 and HD149 as distinct districts.

While the Legislature's H283 plan paired incumbents Hubert Vo and Scott Hochberg, Hochberg announced his intention to not run for re-election in 2012 after the Western District's interim plan was announced. The resulting comparison in districts would see Vo running for re-election in either a reliably Democratic district (the H283 plan) or in a district that is almost identical to the present HD149 in partisan measurements.

The combined treatment of HDs 26, 137, and 146 could be granted a positive lease on life from a recent District of Columbia court's order outlining problems in how the state treated existing coalition districts. The ultimate fate of each district may largely be determined by how the Supreme Court rules on the Western District's interim plan (H302).

A partial agreement between the State of Texas and one of the plaintiffs in the San Antonio court renumerates the core of the existing HD149 as HD136. The district created in this plan is a safe Democratic seat, while the neighboring HD137 is restored under the plan as a swing district.

2001 Redistricting

News Results

Public hearing on Texas economic development and manufacturing is May 1 at ... - Your Houston News

Public hearing on Texas economic development and manufacturing is May 1 at ...
Your Houston News
Rep. John Davis chairs the committee. Other committee members are: Rep. Hubert Vo (Vice Chair), Rep. Cecil Bell, Rep. Yvonne Davis, Rep. Jason Isaac, Rep. Jim Murphy, Rep. Mary Ann Perez (both Murphy and Perez are former members of the HCC ...

[#]
Anti-abortion group backed by GOP donors - Houston Chronicle (blog)

Anti-abortion group backed by GOP donors
Houston Chronicle (blog)
Wall bankrolled Diane Williams' 2012 bid to unseat state Rep. Hubert Vo, a Houston Democrat, donating more than $200,000 to the campaign. - Farris Wilks and his wife, JoAnn, have given a combined total of $41,000 to the Texas Right to Life PAC.

and more »
[#]

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